The technology works. The on-ramps don't.
Imagine you made 10x on a crypto trade. Now withdraw it.
You need to transfer from your wallet to an exchange. The exchange needs to be KYC-verified and connected to a KYC-verified bank account. The bank needs to be comfortable with crypto-related transactions. None of these entities can have failed, frozen your account, or changed their policies since you last checked.
If everything goes right on-chain, many things can still go wrong off-chain.
This is blockchain's fundamental flaw: the technology works. Getting money in and out of it doesn't.
There are really only two ways to fund a blockchain account that normal people use.
The first is centralized exchanges—Coinbase, Kraken, Binance. You need a KYC-verified bank account connected to a KYC-verified exchange account. The exchange has to still be operational. The bank has to be willing to process crypto-related transactions. A lot of banks aren't.
The second is third-party services like Moonpay or Flexa. These charge high fees, have wide spreads, and require the same KYC. They're just more expensive versions of the same chokepoint.
You could fund from another wallet, but that wallet had to be funded through one of the above. It's turtles all the way down.
Let's say you got money in. You have USDC in a non-custodial wallet. You ape into1 a leveraged DOGE position. Elon goes on SNL and announces SpaceX accepts it. You sell at the top. 10x gains.
Now what?
You transfer to an exchange. The exchange converts to fiat. The exchange sends to your bank. The bank accepts the transaction. Each step can fail independently. The exchange can freeze your account for "suspicious activity." The bank can reject crypto-related deposits because their compliance department got nervous. Policies change. Sometimes between your deposit and your withdrawal.
Your on-chain capital is largely inaccessible for real-world spending. Workarounds exist—collateralized loans against your holdings, pseudonymous gift cards, peer-to-peer trades in crypto-friendly jurisdictions—but these aren't realistic options for most people.
Blockchains are permissionless. The infrastructure around them isn't.
If the US government wanted to significantly restrict crypto access, the playbook is obvious: block bank transactions with exchanges, prohibit payment processors from serving crypto companies, require platforms to delist certain tokens. They don't need to "ban Bitcoin." They just need to make the on-ramps and off-ramps unusable.
Every chokepoint is a control point. This matters a lot to people who care about blockchain's original ethos—censorship resistance, permissionless access, financial sovereignty. And there's no clear solution that scales.
The technical community would adapt. Maybe 5-10% of blockchain users have technical backgrounds2, compared to half a percent of the general population. They'd find workarounds. But mass adoption through the current infrastructure? That's the vulnerable part.
Here's the honest version of who needs DeFi:
If you trust your banks, don't care much about self-sovereignty, aren't speculating, and live somewhere stable—the risks probably exceed the benefits. Use Venmo. It's fine.
But if you're in Argentina watching your savings evaporate, or in Venezuela where the currency is worthless, or anywhere with strict capital controls and banks you can't trust—this isn't theoretical. The same tool that's a speculative toy in New York is a financial lifeline in Buenos Aires.
Location determines value. "Monetary sovereignty" sounds like ideology until your government freezes your account.
Blockchains are remarkable engineering. The political and financial infrastructure around them is not.
The technology is as strong as its weakest link. Right now, that link is onboarding and offboarding. Until that changes—through regulatory clarity, better UX, or infrastructure that doesn't depend on the traditional banking system—the "first billion users" everyone pitches on slide 5 will stay in the pitch deck.
"Ape" or "aping in" is crypto slang for buying into a project quickly without much due diligence, usually because of hype or fear of missing out. ↩
This estimate is based on industry observation and conference demographics rather than formal survey data. The actual percentage varies by platform and region. ↩
The technology works. The on-ramps don't.
Imagine you made 10x on a crypto trade. Now withdraw it.
You need to transfer from your wallet to an exchange. The exchange needs to be KYC-verified and connected to a KYC-verified bank account. The bank needs to be comfortable with crypto-related transactions. None of these entities can have failed, frozen your account, or changed their policies since you last checked.
If everything goes right on-chain, many things can still go wrong off-chain.
This is blockchain's fundamental flaw: the technology works. Getting money in and out of it doesn't.
There are really only two ways to fund a blockchain account that normal people use.
The first is centralized exchanges—Coinbase, Kraken, Binance. You need a KYC-verified bank account connected to a KYC-verified exchange account. The exchange has to still be operational. The bank has to be willing to process crypto-related transactions. A lot of banks aren't.
The second is third-party services like Moonpay or Flexa. These charge high fees, have wide spreads, and require the same KYC. They're just more expensive versions of the same chokepoint.
You could fund from another wallet, but that wallet had to be funded through one of the above. It's turtles all the way down.
Let's say you got money in. You have USDC in a non-custodial wallet. You ape into1 a leveraged DOGE position. Elon goes on SNL and announces SpaceX accepts it. You sell at the top. 10x gains.
Now what?
You transfer to an exchange. The exchange converts to fiat. The exchange sends to your bank. The bank accepts the transaction. Each step can fail independently. The exchange can freeze your account for "suspicious activity." The bank can reject crypto-related deposits because their compliance department got nervous. Policies change. Sometimes between your deposit and your withdrawal.
Your on-chain capital is largely inaccessible for real-world spending. Workarounds exist—collateralized loans against your holdings, pseudonymous gift cards, peer-to-peer trades in crypto-friendly jurisdictions—but these aren't realistic options for most people.
Blockchains are permissionless. The infrastructure around them isn't.
If the US government wanted to significantly restrict crypto access, the playbook is obvious: block bank transactions with exchanges, prohibit payment processors from serving crypto companies, require platforms to delist certain tokens. They don't need to "ban Bitcoin." They just need to make the on-ramps and off-ramps unusable.
Every chokepoint is a control point. This matters a lot to people who care about blockchain's original ethos—censorship resistance, permissionless access, financial sovereignty. And there's no clear solution that scales.
The technical community would adapt. Maybe 5-10% of blockchain users have technical backgrounds2, compared to half a percent of the general population. They'd find workarounds. But mass adoption through the current infrastructure? That's the vulnerable part.
Here's the honest version of who needs DeFi:
If you trust your banks, don't care much about self-sovereignty, aren't speculating, and live somewhere stable—the risks probably exceed the benefits. Use Venmo. It's fine.
But if you're in Argentina watching your savings evaporate, or in Venezuela where the currency is worthless, or anywhere with strict capital controls and banks you can't trust—this isn't theoretical. The same tool that's a speculative toy in New York is a financial lifeline in Buenos Aires.
Location determines value. "Monetary sovereignty" sounds like ideology until your government freezes your account.
Blockchains are remarkable engineering. The political and financial infrastructure around them is not.
The technology is as strong as its weakest link. Right now, that link is onboarding and offboarding. Until that changes—through regulatory clarity, better UX, or infrastructure that doesn't depend on the traditional banking system—the "first billion users" everyone pitches on slide 5 will stay in the pitch deck.
"Ape" or "aping in" is crypto slang for buying into a project quickly without much due diligence, usually because of hype or fear of missing out. ↩
This estimate is based on industry observation and conference demographics rather than formal survey data. The actual percentage varies by platform and region. ↩